Ari and I covered some basic material with graduate students yesterday, and I ended up having three guidelines for social science analysis in my notes.

  1. Anecdote is not the singular of data.
  2. If you found something surprising, you’re probably wrong (but conversely:)
  3. Don’t believe everything you think.

Feel free to add your own in comments, or to dispute these, or whatever pleases you, as long as it’s nothing to do with the election.