V.O. Key’s observation that whites who live near blacks in southern states are less positively inclined towards them is *still* visible in several states.
With yet more graphs. And a map!
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3 comments
November 18, 2008 at 8:58 pm
JP Stormcrow
As I commented over there, I think the next “step” in this series is to look only at the differential between ’04 and ’08 results for the (estimated) white vote. In addition to some interesting state effects, I believe it will isolate the effect even more starkly. (From exit polls Alabama and Mississippi white dem vote was nearly cut in half from ’04—admittedly from a very low starting point.) The nice NYTimes map which showed total ’04 to ’08 shift shows it in part (and it of course it nicely illustrates the purely geographic trend), but it of course does not tease out the demographic part. For another interesting look at voting trends in the south, take a look at this post at the Strange Maps blog which compares 1860 cotton production with the ’08 vote.
November 19, 2008 at 5:32 am
Matt W
Anyone know what he means by quoting the guy about miles to the Canadian border as a proxy for political culture in the eastern half of the country and then saying “Except for New Hampshire and Vermont, I think”? Why are NH and VT exceptions? For that matter, how does the graph bear it out in the case of everything else?
I haven’t looked too closely at the graph because the individual squares are tiny and many of them are obscured by his sidebar, but NH, VT, and ME all look to be completely white states that voted for Obama, though in somewhat different numbers.
November 19, 2008 at 6:07 am
CharleyCarp
Anyone looking at the Montana election results map would do well to remember where the Indian reservations are located.